Category: Uncategorized

Stock Indices Rally After Fed Selloff

As discussed in last night’s Briefing, traders went home after yesterday’s selloff and returned this morning with a different perception of value. Almost all of yesterday’s losses were recovered today. The one concerning element is the fact that even on today’s rally, volume fell off. We have to respect price development but with caution when that rally is not attracting new buyers.

Volume Falls. Internals Strengthen

As is typical during this time of year, volume continues to fall off with each day. However, it is important to note that the internals of the market continue to strengthen. I consider volume to be the most critical internal but its decline is normal for the holiday. The breakout continues for now.

NASDAQ Diverges From The Other Indices. Volume Increases.

The NASDAQ represented by the QQQ’s had a major short-term decline trading and closing below two important support levels. The SPY and IWM both traded down to short-term support but held. While I anticipate a possible pause in the decline tomorrow, any lower prices that are accompanied by a continuation of increasing volume will suggest the possibility of a greater degree time and price move developing.

Stock Indices Show Possible Fractal Countertrend Move

The Stock Indices had a little volatility today with up and down movements. However, the chart pattern suggests another greater degree countertrend three-step move may be developing. If this is the case, resistance in SPY is in the 410 area, and in the QQQ is 290 area. How the market interprets the election results will be key to the next degree move. Also, CPI is out Friday morning.

Stock Indices Linger At Important Support

The Stock Indices opened lower today, rallied, and then sold off. They are simply in an area of pause at an extremely important support level. Breadth is strengthening some. This has caused a slight divergence between price and breadth, but until there is an increase in volume in one direction or the other, we could be in for a lot of chop until traders decide whether value is higher or lower. This may be a very important week for the market. If there is a break to the downside, it could accelerate, if volume is increasing.